NFL Week 3 Picks and Predictions: Buying Low on Rookie Quarterbacks

Fall officially kicks off this weekend, bringing it with crisp autumn air, pumpkin spice baby wipes, and harvest season.

These days, we simply saunter into the grocery store and buy whatever we want – regardless of what month it is. But harvest time used to be vital to our survival.

Folks gathered up all the fruits and veggies they carefully cultivated over the summer, storing, jarring, and pickling all they could to sustain themselves over the cold winter months.

If you’re a fan of betting on NFL underdogs, you know the fall is also harvest time at the sportsbook.

As the new NFL schedule rolls out the first few weeks, there’s a window to pillage teams getting the points and stock your bankroll for the rest of the football season.

Going back to 2010, NFL underdogs cover at a blind 56.7% clip in the first three weeks of action. That trend has had an even louder bark in recent years, with NFL Week 3 odds boasting a 152-107-8 ATS record in the opening three weeks since 2018 in favor of the underdogs. 

So far, 2023 is following suit. NFL odds have Dogs going 18-11-2 ATS through the opening two weeks of play – a 61% winner – giving way to a 4-2 ATS column record for my NFL picks and predictions.

Chalk it up to overreactions, offseason underestimations, or the fact that everyone’s still got a chance (bad teams haven’t started tanking). Whatever the case: September is Underdog season.

Last week 2-1 ATSSeason 4-2 ATS

Related Posts

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *